Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.002012 0.002137 0.002265 0.002409 0.002564 0.002728 0.002914
2025-05-04 0.001870 0.002050 0.002244 0.002471 0.002728 0.003012 0.003352
2025-05-11 0.001783 0.002004 0.002251 0.002548 0.002899 0.003303 0.003807
2025-05-18 0.001688 0.001935 0.002218 0.002569 0.002996 0.003504 0.004163
2025-05-25 0.001575 0.001834 0.002136 0.002520 0.002999 0.003586 0.004371
2025-06-01 0.001491 0.001759 0.002079 0.002494 0.003025 0.003691 0.004607
2025-06-08 0.001438 0.001720 0.002061 0.002512 0.003102 0.003861 0.004935
2025-06-15 0.001373 0.001660 0.002013 0.002487 0.003119 0.003951 0.005158
2025-06-22 0.001318 0.001610 0.001974 0.002470 0.003144 0.004049 0.005396
2025-06-29 0.001266 0.001560 0.001932 0.002446 0.003157 0.004129 0.005610
2025-07-06 0.001213 0.001508 0.001884 0.002411 0.003150 0.004180 0.005783
2025-07-13 0.001151 0.001440 0.001812 0.002340 0.003090 0.004150 0.005828
2025-07-20 0.001125 0.001421 0.001810 0.002369 0.003178 0.004349 0.006258
2025-07-27 0.001108 0.001415 0.001823 0.002421 0.003305 0.004615 0.006817
2025-08-03 0.001100 0.001419 0.001851 0.002494 0.003465 0.004943 0.007508
2025-08-10 0.001074 0.001399 0.001842 0.002513 0.003545 0.005150 0.008016
2025-08-17 0.001029 0.001349 0.001790 0.002466 0.003519 0.005184 0.008225
2025-08-24 0.000994 0.001312 0.001755 0.002441 0.003525 0.005272 0.008535
2025-08-31 0.000974 0.001296 0.001748 0.002458 0.003599 0.005475 0.009076
2025-09-07 0.000943 0.001262 0.001715 0.002434 0.003604 0.005560 0.009400
2025-09-14 0.000916 0.001234 0.001689 0.002417 0.003620 0.005665 0.009772
2025-09-21 0.000889 0.001204 0.001659 0.002394 0.003624 0.005746 0.010104
2025-09-28 0.000861 0.001171 0.001623 0.002360 0.003606 0.005789 0.010359